State of the General

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Hey everyone. I will be using this page to track the state of the general election as we move forward. I will include the likely result by state as of current polling. I will take polls from may 3, when Trump became the presumptive nominee, onward. Initially I will just replace the polls with the latest one and hopefully after the GOP convention there will be enough polling to get aggregate data. Most of the polls will come from real clear politics. If the poll does not come from there I will place a link after the poll. I will only include states which have had polling done in this page 1) because I believe this is a realignment year. 2) It allows me to fill up the data organically (less work initially) 3) It seems more fun this way. States which are +/- 5 I will place in the undecided column and states with +6 I will give to the respective candidate. Updates will come as I get more polls. Trump Vs Clinton Fight!

Trump 41 EV    Clinton 102 EV    Undecided 128 EV

Trump – 41 EV

Louisiana – Trump + 16 – 8 EV

Tennessee – Trump +9 – 11 EV  http://news.vanderbilt.edu/2016/05/vanderbilt-poll-trump-leads-clinton-in-tennessee-by-nine-points/

Indiana – Trump +9 – 11 EV  https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BzYWYWbqPbrFYmpfbExFNm1wYjQ/view

West Virginia – Trump + 27 – 5 EV

Utah – Trump + 13 – 6 EV http://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/9518-

Clinton – 102 EV

Oregon – Clinton + 11 – 7 EV

Massachusetts – Clinton + 24 – 11 EV

New Jersey – Clinton + 7 – 14 EV

Wisconsin – Clinton + 12 – 10 EV http://www.federationforchildren.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/16296-WI-School-Choice-Memo-Slides.pdf

California – Clinton + 14 – 55 EV https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers?lang=en

New Mexico – Clinton + 8 – 5 EV http://nmpoliticalreport.com/44100/clinton-leads-in-nm-in-three-way-race/

Undecided – 128 EV

Virginia – tie – 13 EV

New Hampshire – Clinton +2 – 4 EV

Arizona – Trump +4 – 11 EV

Georgia – Trump + 3 – 18 EV

North Carolina – Trump +4 – 15 EV

Ohio Clinton +5 18 EV  https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/734393733978951680?lang=en

Florida clinton +1  29 EV https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/734394130168680448?lang=en

Pennsylvania – Clinton +1 – 20 EV

Some regular blue and regular red states have some early polling giving the edge towards Clinton. Though the results in NC and NM are very close to my +5 border. AZ and Ohio are close as well and trump has had momentum lately so we may see a change soon. If you have any polls for me to include place it in the comments below.

 

 

 

 

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